Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Priscila Cachoeira vs Shana Dobson
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
·Spark Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Priscila Cachoeira
Shana Dobson
65%
35%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
13-9
Career record
Δ 19 pp
4-6
L3
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cachoeira: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Dobson: 5 sig / 0 TD
Priscila Cachoeira
Shana Dobson
54
Sig strikes landed
47
130
Sig strikes attempted
127
64
Total strikes landed
61
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
96s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Priscila Cachoeira
"Zombie Girl"
13-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
Blue corner
L2
Shana Dobson
"Danger"
4-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—