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Prelims1 Heavyweight

Ciryl Gane vs Tanner Boser

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Ciryl Gane
Tanner Boser
62% 38%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 6"
76"
30
Age
Δ 1y
28
14-2
Career record
Δ 22 pp
23-11-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gane: 65 sig / 0 TD · Boser: 32 sig / 0 TD
Ciryl Gane
Tanner Boser
73
Sig strikes landed
59
155
Sig strikes attempted
122
82
Total strikes landed
70
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.1
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
133s
Control time
9s
Method
Decision
89%
KO/TKO
7%
Submission
4%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Ciryl Gane

"Bon Gamin"
14-2 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
W UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
Blue corner
W1

Tanner Boser

"The Bulldozer"
23-11-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…