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Main Middleweight

JunYong Park vs Marc-Andre Barriault

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie ·Sajik Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
JunYong Park
Marc-Andre Barriault
74% 26%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
19-8
Career record
Δ 12 pp
17-12
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Park: 77 sig / 5 TD · Barriault: 51 sig / 0 TD
JunYong Park
Marc-Andre Barriault
63
Sig strikes landed
61
125
Sig strikes attempted
143
73
Total strikes landed
79
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
107s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

JunYong Park

"The Iron Turtle"
19-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
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Blue corner
L2

Marc-Andre Barriault

"Powerbar"
17-12 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
L UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—