Main
Light Heavyweight
Volkan Oezdemir vs Aleksandar Rakic
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
·Sajik Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Volkan Oezdemir
Aleksandar Rakic
61%
39%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
78"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
22-8
Career record
Δ 2 pp
15-6
W1
Current streak
W4
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Oezdemir: 63 sig / 0 TD ·
Rakic: 75 sig / 1 TD
Volkan Oezdemir
Aleksandar Rakic
40
Sig strikes landed
49
97
Sig strikes attempted
106
57
Total strikes landed
61
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
61s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
22-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
Blue corner
W4
Aleksandar Rakic
"Rocket"
15-6
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—