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Martin Bravo vs Steven Peterson

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens ·Arena CDMX
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Martin Bravo
Steven Peterson
66% 34%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
26
Age
Δ 3y
29
11-4
Career record
Δ 12 pp
19-12
L2
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Bravo: 86 sig / 2 TD · Peterson: 49 sig / 0 TD
Martin Bravo
Steven Peterson
60
Sig strikes landed
53
143
Sig strikes attempted
137
72
Total strikes landed
80
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
92s
Control time
207s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Martin Bravo

"El Toro"
11-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
L2

Steven Peterson

"Ocho"
19-12
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—