Back to UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang
Prelims1 Middleweight

JunYong Park vs Anthony Hernandez

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang ·Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
JunYong Park
Anthony Hernandez
52% 48%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
28
Age
Δ 3y
26
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Park: 81 sig / 0 TD · Hernandez: 59 sig / 6 TD
JunYong Park
Anthony Hernandez
32
Sig strikes landed
28
61
Sig strikes attempted
61
51
Total strikes landed
44
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
124s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

JunYong Park

"The Iron Turtle"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
L1

Anthony Hernandez

"Fluffy"
15-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
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