🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Strawweight
Jessica Andrade vs Zhang Weili
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang
·Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Zhang Weili
37%
63%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 1"
63"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
27-15
Career record
Δ 23 pp
27-4
W4
Current streak
W3
15
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Andrade: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Weili: 29 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Andrade
Zhang Weili
54
Sig strikes landed
64
124
Sig strikes attempted
146
86
Total strikes landed
89
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.5
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
140s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
27-15
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
15 fights · 11-4
Last 5
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
L
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
Blue corner
W3
Zhang Weili
"Magnum"
27-4
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—