Back to UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Veronica Hardy vs Polyana Viana

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 ·Antel Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Veronica Hardy
Polyana Viana
61% 39%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
24
Age
Δ 3y
27
10-6-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
13-10
L3
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Hardy: 1 sig / 0 TD · Viana: 1 sig / 1 TD
Veronica Hardy
Polyana Viana
34
Sig strikes landed
42
66
Sig strikes attempted
82
52
Total strikes landed
64
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
129s
Control time
183s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
50%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Veronica Hardy

10-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database 3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
L UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
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Blue corner
L2

Polyana Viana

"Dama de Ferro"
13-10
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
L UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
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