Prelims1
Heavyweight
Maurice Greene vs Junior Albini
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
·Target Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Maurice Greene
Junior Albini
37%
63%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
10-7
Career record
Δ 8 pp
14-7
W2
Current streak
L3
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Greene: 37 sig / 0 TD ·
Albini: 19 sig / 0 TD
Maurice Greene
Junior Albini
37
Sig strikes landed
26
69
Sig strikes attempted
54
44
Total strikes landed
39
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.6
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
51s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
64%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Maurice Greene
"The Crochet Boss"
10-7
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
Blue corner
L3
Junior Albini
"Baby"
14-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
L
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—