Main
Welterweight
Bryan Barberena vs Randy Brown
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
·Bon Secours Wellness Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Bryan Barberena
Randy Brown
42%
58%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 6"
78"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
18-13
Career record
Δ 11 pp
20-9
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Barberena: 47 sig / 0 TD ·
Brown: 89 sig / 0 TD
Bryan Barberena
Randy Brown
46
Sig strikes landed
51
92
Sig strikes attempted
110
70
Total strikes landed
64
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
76s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
18-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
L
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
Blue corner
L1
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
20-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—