Prelims1
Lightweight
Desmond Green vs Charles Jourdain
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee
·Blue Cross Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Desmond Green
Charles Jourdain
66%
34%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
30
Age
Δ 6y
24
W1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Green: 78 sig / 4 TD ·
Jourdain: 55 sig / 0 TD
Desmond Green
Charles Jourdain
45
Sig strikes landed
42
105
Sig strikes attempted
97
57
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
75s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Desmond Green
"The Predator"
24-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
Blue corner
Charles Jourdain
"Air"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
24