Back to UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Prelims2 Lightweight

Devin Powell vs Jesus Pinedo

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio ·Parque Roca Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Devin Powell
Jesus Pinedo
28% 72%
Why
31
Age
Δ 8y
22
W1
Current streak
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3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Powell: 58 sig / 0 TD · Pinedo: 60 sig / 5 TD
Devin Powell
Jesus Pinedo
27
Sig strikes landed
37
59
Sig strikes attempted
72
42
Total strikes landed
55
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
71s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Devin Powell

10-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
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L UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
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L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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Blue corner

Jesus Pinedo

"El Mudo"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
22