Back to UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Prelims2 Women's Strawweight

Livinha Souza vs Alex Chambers

UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Livinha Souza
Alex Chambers
87% 13%
Why
63"
Reach
63"
28
Age
Δ 12y
40
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Souza: 10 sig / 1 TD · Chambers: 4 sig / 0 TD
Livinha Souza
Alex Chambers
44
Sig strikes landed
28
78
Sig strikes attempted
54
77
Total strikes landed
57
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
187s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
36%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Livinha Souza

"The Brazilian Gangsta"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L2

Alex Chambers

"Astro Girl"
5-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
40
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