Back to UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Merab Dvalishvili vs Terrion Ware

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik ·Olympic Stadium
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Merab Dvalishvili
Terrion Ware
81% 19%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
28
Age
Δ 5y
32
21-6
Career record
Δ 15 pp
17-10
L2
Current streak
L3
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dvalishvili: 62 sig / 5 TD · Ware: 8 sig / 0 TD
Merab Dvalishvili
Terrion Ware
70
Sig strikes landed
56
168
Sig strikes attempted
138
112
Total strikes landed
79
2.6
Takedowns landed
1.5
7.1
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
233s
Control time
56s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Merab Dvalishvili

"The Machine"
21-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
L UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
Blue corner
L3

Terrion Ware

"Flash"
17-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
L UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—