Prelims1
Bantamweight
Felipe Arantes vs Song Yadong
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Felipe Arantes
Song Yadong
29%
71%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 6"
67"
30
Age
Δ 10y
21
18-11-1
Career record
Δ 11 pp
24-9-1
L2
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Arantes: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Yadong: 39 sig / 1 TD
Felipe Arantes
Song Yadong
25
Sig strikes landed
31
60
Sig strikes attempted
85
30
Total strikes landed
40
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
69s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Felipe Arantes
"Sertanejo"
18-11-1
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
L
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Song Yadong
"Kung Fu Kid"
24-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—