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Main Welterweight

Li Jingliang vs Daichi Abe

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards ·Singapore Indoor Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Li Jingliang
Daichi Abe
69% 31%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
30
Age
Δ 4y
27
19-10
Career record
Δ 1 pp
6-3
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jingliang: 96 sig / 0 TD · Abe: 45 sig / 0 TD
Li Jingliang
Daichi Abe
77
Sig strikes landed
48
162
Sig strikes attempted
135
78
Total strikes landed
48
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
107s
Control time
-6s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
4%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Li Jingliang

"The Leech"
19-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
W UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
W UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
Blue corner
L1

Daichi Abe

6-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
W UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—