Main
Welterweight
Donald Cerrone vs Leon Edwards
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Donald Cerrone
Leon Edwards
48%
52%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
35
Age
Δ 8y
27
37-17
Career record
Δ 11 pp
23-6
W1
Current streak
W5
27
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Cerrone: 60 sig / 1 TD ·
Edwards: 84 sig / 0 TD
Donald Cerrone
Leon Edwards
34
Sig strikes landed
40
67
Sig strikes attempted
95
35
Total strikes landed
67
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.1
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
48s
Control time
187s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
37-17
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
27 fights · 20-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
L
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
Blue corner
W5
Leon Edwards
"Rocky"
23-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—