Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alex Perez
Jose Torres
76%
24%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
65"
26
Age
Δ 0y
26
27-10
Career record
Δ 17 pp
9-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Perez: 84 sig / 0 TD ·
Torres: 29 sig / 0 TD
Alex Perez
Jose Torres
28
Sig strikes landed
15
68
Sig strikes attempted
54
51
Total strikes landed
31
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
165s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alex Perez
27-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jose Torres
"Shorty"
9-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—