Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Marlon Vera
Wulijiburen
62%
38%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
26
Age
Δ 4y
29
23-13-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
20-10
L2
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Vera: 45 sig / 1 TD ·
Wulijiburen: 31 sig / 2 TD
Marlon Vera
Wulijiburen
38
Sig strikes landed
27
89
Sig strikes attempted
69
55
Total strikes landed
45
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
5.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
65s
Control time
207s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23-13-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Wulijiburen
"Beast Master"
20-10
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—