Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Markus Perez
James Bochnovic
57%
43%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 8"
81"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
12-6
Career record
Δ 0 pp
8-4
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Perez: 4 sig / 1 TD ·
Bochnovic: 3 sig / 0 TD
Markus Perez
James Bochnovic
44
Sig strikes landed
30
80
Sig strikes attempted
80
50
Total strikes landed
42
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
131s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Markus Perez
"Maluko"
12-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
Blue corner
L1
James Bochnovic
8-4
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—