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Ovince Saint Preux vs Yushin Okami

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami ·Saitama Super Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Ovince Saint Preux
Yushin Okami
37% 63%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 5"
75"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
28-18
Career record
Δ 11 pp
34-13
W1
Current streak
L1
13
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Saint Preux: 0 sig / 0 TD · Okami: 0 sig / 0 TD
Ovince Saint Preux
Yushin Okami
30
Sig strikes landed
34
69
Sig strikes attempted
71
40
Total strikes landed
49
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.0
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
48s
Control time
224s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Ovince Saint Preux

28-18
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database 13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
L UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
Blue corner
L1

Yushin Okami

"Thunder"
34-13
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database 9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—
W UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
L UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—