Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Joachim Christensen vs Gadzhimurad Antigulov
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Joachim Christensen
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
41%
59%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
38
Age
Δ 8y
30
15-6
Career record
Δ 1 pp
21-8
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Christensen: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Antigulov: 2 sig / 1 TD
Joachim Christensen
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
23
Sig strikes landed
42
71
Sig strikes attempted
146
33
Total strikes landed
55
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
97s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
54%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Joachim Christensen
15-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
W1
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
21-8
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—