Back to UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Main Heavyweight

Derrick Lewis vs Shamil Abdurakhimov

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov ·Times Union Center
Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Derrick Lewis
Shamil Abdurakhimov
76% 24%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
30-13
Career record
Δ 3 pp
21-8
W4
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 4
Lewis: 39 sig / 1 TD · Abdurakhimov: 15 sig / 4 TD
Derrick Lewis
Shamil Abdurakhimov
34
Sig strikes landed
22
70
Sig strikes attempted
43
43
Total strikes landed
38
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
122s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W4

Derrick Lewis

"The Black Beast"
30-13 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
W UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
L UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
—
Blue corner
W2

Shamil Abdurakhimov

"Abrek"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—