Prelims2
Featherweight
Marlon Vera vs Guangyou Ning
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
·Rod Laver Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marlon Vera
Guangyou Ning
89%
11%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 6"
64"
24
Age
Δ 11y
35
23-13-1
Career record
Δ 17 pp
5-5-1
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vera: 36 sig / 1 TD ·
Ning: 46 sig / 0 TD
Marlon Vera
Guangyou Ning
39
Sig strikes landed
29
74
Sig strikes attempted
49
59
Total strikes landed
50
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.2
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
193s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23-13-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
L
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
L1
Guangyou Ning
"Smasher"
5-5-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—