Back to UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
Prelims2 Featherweight

Enrique Barzola vs Chris Avila

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson ·Arena CDMX
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Enrique Barzola
Chris Avila
80% 20%
Why
28
Age
Δ 4y
24
17-6-2
Career record
Δ 18 pp
5-5
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barzola: 72 sig / 7 TD · Avila: 29 sig / 0 TD
Enrique Barzola
Chris Avila
55
Sig strikes landed
35
118
Sig strikes attempted
103
86
Total strikes landed
55
3.6
Takedowns landed
0.2
6.9
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
293s
Control time
59s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Enrique Barzola

"El Fuerte"
17-6-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
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W UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
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Blue corner
L1

Chris Avila

5-5
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
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