Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Urijah Faber
Jimmie Rivera
57%
43%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
37
Age
Δ 10y
27
35-12
Career record
Δ 8 pp
24-5
L1
Current streak
W3
14
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Faber: 22 sig / 0 TD ·
Rivera: 54 sig / 0 TD
Urijah Faber
Jimmie Rivera
46
Sig strikes landed
54
128
Sig strikes attempted
123
55
Total strikes landed
70
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.1
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
115s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Urijah Faber
"The California Kid"
35-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
W
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
Blue corner
W3
Jimmie Rivera
"El Terror"
24-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—