Back to UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Prelims1 Welterweight

Nicolas Dalby vs Zak Cummings

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos ·Zagreb Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Nicolas Dalby
Zak Cummings
57% 43%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
31
Age
Δ 0y
32
24-6-2
Career record
Δ 4 pp
26-7
D1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dalby: 57 sig / 0 TD · Cummings: 56 sig / 1 TD
Nicolas Dalby
Zak Cummings
25
Sig strikes landed
28
78
Sig strikes attempted
86
48
Total strikes landed
42
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.7
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
139s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
D1

Nicolas Dalby

"Lokomotivo"
24-6-2 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 1-0
Last 2
D UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
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W UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
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Blue corner
W1

Zak Cummings

26-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
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L UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
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W UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
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W UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
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