Back to UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
Prelims2 Heavyweight

Francis Ngannou vs Luis Henrique

UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 ·Amway Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Francis Ngannou
Luis Henrique
70% 30%
Why
83"
Reach
Δ 9"
74"
29
Age
Δ 7y
22

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Ngannou: 25 sig / 0 TD · Henrique: 5 sig / 1 TD
Francis Ngannou
Luis Henrique
40
Sig strikes landed
32
75
Sig strikes attempted
70
59
Total strikes landed
45
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
154s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Francis Ngannou

"The Predator"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
83"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner

Luis Henrique

"KLB"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22