Back to Bellator 141: Guillard vs. Girtz
Middleweight

AJ Matthews vs Emiliano Sordi

Bellator 141: Guillard vs. Girtz ·Pechanga Resort & Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
AJ Matthews
Emiliano Sordi
59% 41%
Why
28
Age
Δ 3y
24
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Matthews: 22 sig / 0 TD · Sordi: 21 sig / 0 TD
AJ Matthews
Emiliano Sordi
21
Sig strikes landed
38
70
Sig strikes attempted
92
35
Total strikes landed
35
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.9
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
49s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

AJ Matthews

9-7
Career record
Height
71"
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Bellator 131: Tito vs Bonnar
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Blue corner

Emiliano Sordi

"He-Man"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25