Women's Atomweight
Jessica Penne vs Nicdali Rivera-Calanoc
Invicta FC 6: Coenen vs. Cyborg
·Ameristar Casino Kansas City
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jessica Penne
Nicdali Rivera-Calanoc
84%
16%
Why
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Penne: 12 sig / 1 TD ·
Rivera-Calanoc: 9 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Penne
Nicdali Rivera-Calanoc
41
Sig strikes landed
37
102
Sig strikes attempted
84
60
Total strikes landed
61
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
159s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jessica Penne
14-10
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
Invicta FC 5: Penne vs. Waterson
—
W
Invicta FC 3: Penne vs. Sugiyuma
—
W
Invicta FC 1: Coenen vs. Ruyssen
—
Blue corner
Nicdali Rivera-Calanoc
"The Night Queen"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Age
28