Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Benji Radach
Ben Reiter
67%
33%
Why
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Radach: 23 sig / 0 TD ·
Reiter: 27 sig / 7 TD
Benji Radach
Ben Reiter
37
Sig strikes landed
51
95
Sig strikes attempted
114
58
Total strikes landed
67
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
151s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Benji Radach
"Razor"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
Blue corner
Ben Reiter
"The Hunter"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Age
28