Featherweight
Jordan Parsons vs Julio Cesar Neves Jr.
Bellator 137: Halsey vs. Grove
·Pechanga Resort & Casino
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jordan Parsons
Julio Cesar Neves Jr.
24%
76%
Why
25
Age
Δ 4y
21
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Parsons: 68 sig / 3 TD ·
Neves Jr.: 28 sig / 1 TD
Jordan Parsons
Julio Cesar Neves Jr.
39
Sig strikes landed
51
92
Sig strikes attempted
101
55
Total strikes landed
75
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.1
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
70s
Control time
209s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jordan Parsons
"Pretty Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Age
25
Blue corner
Julio Cesar Neves Jr.
"Morceguinho"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Age
21