Prelims2
Lightweight
Yosdenis Cedeno vs Cody Pfister
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Yosdenis Cedeno
Cody Pfister
39%
61%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
30
Age
Δ 5y
25
10-7-1
Career record
Δ 6 pp
13-7-1
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cedeno: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Pfister: 15 sig / 5 TD
Yosdenis Cedeno
Cody Pfister
32
Sig strikes landed
32
65
Sig strikes attempted
60
52
Total strikes landed
50
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
136s
Control time
205s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Yosdenis Cedeno
"Pink Panther"
10-7-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
L
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
Blue corner
L1
Cody Pfister
"The Fist"
13-7-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—