Back to Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
Featherweight

Patricio Pitbull vs Daniel Straus

Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus ·Pechanga Resort & Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Patricio Pitbull
Daniel Straus
92% 8%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
28
Age
Δ 3y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 4
Pitbull: 43 sig / 1 TD · Straus: 88 sig / 0 TD
Patricio Pitbull
Daniel Straus
43
Sig strikes landed
41
100
Sig strikes attempted
100
56
Total strikes landed
55
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
128s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Patricio Pitbull

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Daniel Straus

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Age
31