Back to Invicta FC 2: McMann vs. Baszler
Women's Bantamweight

Sara McMann vs Shayna Baszler

Invicta FC 2: McMann vs. Baszler ·Memorial Hall

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Sara McMann
Shayna Baszler
65% 35%
Why
32
Age
Δ 0y
32

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McMann: 61 sig / 4 TD · Baszler: 57 sig / 0 TD
Sara McMann
Shayna Baszler
39
Sig strikes landed
37
78
Sig strikes attempted
80
65
Total strikes landed
65
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
173s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Sara McMann

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner

Shayna Baszler

"The Queen of Spades"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32