Back to UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
Prelims1 Featherweight

Jumabieke Tuerxun vs Mark Eddiva

UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway ·Cotai Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jumabieke Tuerxun
Mark Eddiva
81% 19%
Why
28
Age
Δ 0y
28

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Tuerxun: 12 sig / 1 TD · Eddiva: 49 sig / 4 TD
Jumabieke Tuerxun
Mark Eddiva
41
Sig strikes landed
31
80
Sig strikes attempted
74
58
Total strikes landed
42
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
183s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jumabieke Tuerxun

"The Wild Wolf"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Mark Eddiva

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28