Prelims1
Middleweight
Brad Scott vs Michael Kuiper
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz
·Manchester Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Brad Scott
Michael Kuiper
46%
54%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
24
Age
Δ 0y
24
11-7
Career record
Δ 10 pp
15-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Scott: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Kuiper: 7 sig / 1 TD
Brad Scott
Michael Kuiper
45
Sig strikes landed
45
110
Sig strikes attempted
97
68
Total strikes landed
65
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.6
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
148s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Brad Scott
"Bear"
11-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
Blue corner
L1
Michael Kuiper
15-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
L
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—