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Lightweight

James Terry vs King Green

Strikeforce - Barnett vs Cormier ·SAP Center at San Jose
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
James Terry
King Green
31% 69%
Why
31
Age
Δ 6y
26
19-10
Career record
Δ 1 pp
36-17-1
L1
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
James Terry
King Green
31
Sig strikes landed
43
86
Sig strikes attempted
84
46
Total strikes landed
58
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.6
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
191s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

James Terry

"Intensity"
19-10
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jard…
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W Strikeforce Challengers 19
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L Strikeforce Challengers 16
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W Strikeforce Challengers 15
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W Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Cyborg
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Blue corner
W2

King Green

36-17-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W Strikeforce Challengers 20
—
W Strikeforce Challengers 19
—
L Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
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