Welterweight
Tarec Saffiedine vs Tyler Stinson
Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jardine
·Hard Rock Hotel and Casino
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Tarec Saffiedine
Tyler Stinson
57%
43%
Why
25
Age
Δ 1y
26
17-7
Career record
Δ 5 pp
31-10
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Saffiedine: 46 sig / 2 TD ·
Stinson: 28 sig / 0 TD
Tarec Saffiedine
Tyler Stinson
51
Sig strikes landed
58
133
Sig strikes attempted
150
62
Total strikes landed
69
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
109s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tarec Saffiedine
"Sponge"
17-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 13
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 6
—
Blue corner
W1
Tyler Stinson
"The Evolution"
31-10
Career record
Height
75"
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
—