Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Fedor Emelianenko
Jeff Monson
60%
40%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
35
Age
Δ 6y
41
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Emelianenko: 50 sig / 1 TD ·
Monson: 5 sig / 0 TD
Fedor Emelianenko
Jeff Monson
37
Sig strikes landed
30
81
Sig strikes attempted
72
52
Total strikes landed
50
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
171s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Fedor Emelianenko
"The Last Emperor"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
Blue corner
Jeff Monson
"The Snowman"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41