Back to DREAM - New Year! 2011
Bantamweight

Hideo Tokoro vs Yusup Saadulaev

DREAM - New Year! 2011 ·Saitama Super Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Hideo Tokoro
Yusup Saadulaev
55% 45%
Why
34
Age
Δ 8y
27
34-30-2
Career record
Δ 21 pp
16-5-1
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Tokoro: 1 sig / 0 TD · Saadulaev: 6 sig / 2 TD
Hideo Tokoro
Yusup Saadulaev
41
Sig strikes landed
31
123
Sig strikes attempted
107
57
Total strikes landed
52
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.60
Knockdowns
0.30
161s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Hideo Tokoro

34-30-2
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L DREAM 17
—
W DREAM - Japan GP Final
—
W DREAM - Fight for Japan
—
W Dynamite!! 2010
—
L DREAM 16
—
Blue corner
L1

Yusup Saadulaev

"Maestro"
16-5-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L DREAM 17
—