Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Roger Bowling
Bobby Voelker
61%
39%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
29
Age
Δ 4y
32
13-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
20-13
W1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Bowling: 48 sig / 2 TD ·
Voelker: 40 sig / 0 TD
Roger Bowling
Bobby Voelker
29
Sig strikes landed
27
44
Sig strikes attempted
49
50
Total strikes landed
50
2.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.60
Knockdowns
0.20
255s
Control time
191s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Roger Bowling
"Relentless"
13-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Hender…
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 11
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—
Blue corner
W2
Bobby Voelker
"Vicious"
20-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
Strikeforce Challengers 11
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 9
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—