Welterweight
Tyron Woodley vs Tarec Saffiedine
Strikeforce Challengers 13
·Nashville Municipal Auditorium
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tyron Woodley
Tarec Saffiedine
55%
45%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
29
Age
Δ 4y
24
20-7-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
17-7
W2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Woodley: 45 sig / 3 TD ·
Saffiedine: 38 sig / 0 TD
Tyron Woodley
Tarec Saffiedine
41
Sig strikes landed
41
108
Sig strikes attempted
118
41
Total strikes landed
43
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.60
71s
Control time
65s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Tyron Woodley
"The Chosen One"
20-7-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Noons 2
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—
Blue corner
W2
Tarec Saffiedine
"Sponge"
17-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 6
—