Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Andy Ologun
Katsuaki Furuki
84%
16%
Why
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ologun: 40 sig / 1 TD ·
Furuki: 4 sig / 0 TD
Andy Ologun
Katsuaki Furuki
39
Sig strikes landed
38
86
Sig strikes attempted
85
52
Total strikes landed
50
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
160s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Andy Ologun
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Katsuaki Furuki
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Age
30