Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Leonard Garcia
Chan Sung Jung
33%
67%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
31
Age
Δ 8y
23
D1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Garcia: 64 sig / 0 TD ·
Jung: 89 sig / 0 TD
Leonard Garcia
Chan Sung Jung
37
Sig strikes landed
41
77
Sig strikes attempted
84
52
Total strikes landed
56
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
143s
Control time
197s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Leonard Garcia
"Bad Boy"
18-13-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-0
Last 1
D
WEC 47: Bowles vs. Cruz
—
Blue corner
Chan Sung Jung
"The Korean Zombie"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23