Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
James Te Huna
Igor Pokrajac
43%
57%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Te Huna: 22 sig / 5 TD ·
Pokrajac: 25 sig / 2 TD
James Te Huna
Igor Pokrajac
37
Sig strikes landed
37
78
Sig strikes attempted
74
53
Total strikes landed
54
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
157s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
James Te Huna
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Igor Pokrajac
"The Duke"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31