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Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres ·National Gymnastics Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Rafael Fiziev
Manuel Torres
41% 59%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
13-6
Career record
Δ 17 pp
18-3
L1
Current streak
W2
12
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Rafael Fiziev
Manuel Torres
34
Sig strikes landed
45
69
Sig strikes attempted
90
41
Total strikes landed
55
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
55s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
36%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Rafael Fiziev

"Ataman"
13-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database 12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
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L UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
L UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
Blue corner
W2

Manuel Torres

"El Loco"
18-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database 6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
—
L UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—