Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Regezhen
Dagiisuren Chagnaadorj
59%
41%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
25
Age
Δ 1y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Regezhen: 53 sig / 0 TD ·
Chagnaadorj: 47 sig / 4 TD
Regezhen
Dagiisuren Chagnaadorj
37
Sig strikes landed
37
76
Sig strikes attempted
79
54
Total strikes landed
54
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
140s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Regezhen
"Chocolate Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
Dagiisuren Chagnaadorj
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26