Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rongzhu
Victor Martinez
92%
8%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
26
Age
Δ 9y
35
W3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rongzhu: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Martinez: 0 sig / 0 TD
Rongzhu
Victor Martinez
56
Sig strikes landed
34
107
Sig strikes attempted
91
66
Total strikes landed
39
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.1
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.60
Knockdowns
0.00
56s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Rongzhu
29-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
Road to UFC 2.7
—
W
Road to UFC 2.5 + 2.6
—
W
Road to UFC 2.3 + 2.4
—
Blue corner
Victor Martinez
"The Brick"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35