Back to UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Prelims1 Featherweight

Zhu Kangjie vs Rodrigo Vera

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo ·Galaxy Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Zhu Kangjie
Rodrigo Vera
46% 54%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 0y
31

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Kangjie: 7 sig / 0 TD · Vera: 17 sig / 1 TD
Zhu Kangjie
Rodrigo Vera
35
Sig strikes landed
36
76
Sig strikes attempted
80
50
Total strikes landed
56
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
96s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Zhu Kangjie

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Rodrigo Vera

"El Gato Loco"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31